Football Index: The week ahead Edition No.5

Welcome to this week's edition of The Week Ahead. It's all about the Premier League this week, with a full set of fixtures midweek. Some huge headline fixtures from derby games to the title race, this weeks got it all!

What’s going on this week?

This section aims to give you an overview of the week coming up, what kind of dividends will be on offer and a stand out fixture that will be of some importance to the Index. 

Midweek EPL 

Since we didn't get a televised goal in English football on Sunday you'll be glad to know we shouldn't have to wait long for the next one with the next round of fixtures kicking off on Tuesday. The next two days performance dividends contenders are all Premier League based, with the ten fixtures spread over Tuesday and Wednesday. 

The big guns have definitely been saved for Wednesday, as Tuesday provides us with lots of bottom half scraps that could potentially go either way. Newcastle vs Burnley is the televised fixture so may get a few rises on goalscorers, especially since they're all pretty cheap. You can see the top estimated scores this season of all those in action on Tuesday in case you're looking for a cheap punt. Dwight McNeil might be one to keep an eye on too after some solid performances over the last couple of weeks from the young English man. Two of the promoted sides face off at The John Smiths stadium tonight too, with Wolves players potentially looking for a dividend win after hitting that magic 40 points mark at the weekend. 

If Tuesday is the starter then Wednesday definitely provides a tasty main, with  Chelsea vs Tottenham taking centre stage. I'm sure we'll see some price movement on Kepa whether he starts or not after the weekend but I'd be careful trying to get involved as I doubt anyone will be holding, definitely a case of flip or be flipped!

I'm sure a huge emphasis will be on the Palace vs United game too, with an in form Crystal Palace certainly able to give The Red Devils a run for their money, especially with all the injuries they've picked up over the last couple of weeks. People will be keen to react to the team sheet and see if Chong will get any involvement I'm sure.

Weekend Plans

This regular segment looks solely at the Saturday and Sunday ahead, using Football Index Edge data to help you predict who is in the running for the triple day dividends.


Saturday brings the third El Classico in a month as Real Madrid take on Barcelona in the league this time, following the cup tie which is set to take place on Wednesday. Who knows if Messi makes it 4 performance wins in a row he might even go up! (you can see his returns, moving 30 day average score and price overtime below, very interesting lack of correlation recently!)

The early kick off in the Premier League comes from the North London Derby. Definitely one to be watching. Any big impact on PB or MB in that game will likely be rewarded with a price rise since the game will be just about over before the 2pm dividend cut off. 

In terms of easy fixtures, PSG probably win that one, taking on relegation threatened Caen in a 4pm kick off.

The highest estimated scores for Saturday can be seen below. This doesn't account for unavailable players such as Neymar who is still injured.


Fulham will have a tough test against Chelsea who may look to release some steam after a tough week depending on how the Spurs game goes midweek. Either way, Chelsea Performance dividends should be up for grabs. 

The big game of the day comes from Goodison Park when Everton will try to upset Liverpool's title hopes in the 4pm kick off. Holders will hope Salah can pick up some form after a few quiet weeks. As a player who is very price-dividend correlated a GWG for Media and maybe even Performance dividends could do him the world of good.  

We have Edge's predictions for Sunday below.

If you're new to Football Index and want to continue to learn the ropes, check out my free guide here!

I hope this article has been useful in preparing your portfolio for the week ahead, happy trading and I’ll be back same time next week!

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