Welcome to this week’s edition of The Week Ahead, where we take a look at a huge week of football with the return of the Champions League.
What’s going on this week?
This section aims at giving you an overview of the week coming up, what kind of dividends will be on offer and a stand-out fixture that would be important for Football Index.
On Tuesday, the Champions League makes its long-awaited return. In case you are unaware, not only is European football usually more highly covered by the media but on Football Index, all match days containing Champions League or Europa League games from the quarter-final stage onwards are triple dividend days. This allows many top players to benefit from reduced player pools for higher dividends. With that in mind, here are the best scorers from European competition games since the start of last season.
As already mentioned, the Champions League returns on Tuesday with a huge fixture between Manchester United and PSG. This is a massive tie in terms of Football Index – after the recent form and price rises in the United squad, a win here would help to maintain these new prices, and possibly increase them further based on the current market sentiment. The media will be covering it in great detail, therefore any heroics from the Reds could mean their players get the media dividends on Tuesday and Wednesday. Roma take on Porto at home in the other Champions League game of the day which won’t have as much of a media impact but the players featuring could provide some tough competition for the single performance dividends on offer if either team can get an upper hand in the tie.
Wednesday sees Spurs play Dortmund in a game that could go either way. It is expected to be an exciting one but it may struggle to challenge for the market’s dividends, with United playing the day before and so possibly dominating Media and in-form Real Madrid playing Ajax away, who will therefore push for the Performance dividends in the other game of the day.
We are also graced with Europa League football on Thursday setting up a nice midweek triple dividend day. The English teams are both on their travels this week, with Arsenal away at BATE and Chelsea away at Malmo. It could be a good chance for some of the second-string to get game-time. Callum Hudson-Odoi is one I imagine traders will be looking at after his transfer debacle last month.
Bayer Leverkusen are away at Krasnodar and could look to continue their impressive form with a squad full of stars that will be on many bigger teams’ shopping list for the summer.
This regular segment looks solely at the Saturday and Sunday ahead, using Football Index Edge data to help you predict who’s in the running for the triple day dividends.
No Premier League this week unfortunately due to the FA Cup but this does allow for those playing to have a good chance of winning triple dividends, with just fifteen fixtures taking place.
Barcelona play on Saturday at home to Real Valladolid which provides a good chance to redeem themselves after their 0-0 draw away at Athletic Bilbao last weekend, the first game in which they have failed to score since last February. Messi could really do with a win at the Camp Nou to improve his current price.
One game definitely worth keeping an eye on is Real Madrid vs Girona. After impressive results against Barca and Atletico last week, Real take on the team who they have already triumphed over in the Copa Del Rey this season at 11am, meaning that it will be finished before the dividend deadline so any big scores could see some big player rises.
Bayer Leverkusen also take on Fortuna Düsseldorf as the next of their reasonably easy fixtures that were mentioned in last week’s edition.
We have Edge’s predictions for Sunday below.
30 day plan
If you are into your In-Play Dividends, this section will look to offer you the best teams or players to be keeping an eye on over the next month.
This week I have to agree with the Fixture Planner on Edge but it could be interesting. The most obvious shout is, in fact, PSG. Now this would usually be a pretty standard tip but this week it comes with its very own caveat. PSG have eight games over the next 30 days thanks to postponed fixtures from earlier in the season, but a lot of their players have seen declining prices over the last week or so as growing belief that United will actually knock them out of the Champions League. If United gain an advantage in their home tie on Tuesday, we could see further drops but it could be a good time to “buy the dip” with four games between that and the second leg with a great chance to pick up In-Play dividends.
Cavani and Neymar are both out, leaving a lot of uncertainty about their attacking line-up. I would expect Draxler and Angel Di Maria to play either side of Mbappe or in some form of fluid front three but Christopher Nkunku or Choupo-Moting could at some point see some extra game-time if you are looking for a real punt for goals.
Below you can see their best performers this season, with those aforementioned injured players removed.
Here are the rest of the top four teams from the top five European leagues with the easiest fixtures coming up according to Football Index Edge:
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I hope this article has been useful in preparing your portfolio for the week ahead, happy trading and I’ll be back same time next week!